Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.521675 0.595011 0.673876 0.764864 0.866805 0.977361 1.106196
2025-06-08 0.401689 0.500297 0.614759 0.756899 0.928084 1.126987 1.374940
2025-06-15 0.326618 0.441361 0.584237 0.773878 1.017471 1.318183 1.715623
2025-06-22 0.259837 0.379620 0.539036 0.764243 1.071245 1.471746 2.029695
2025-06-29 0.215430 0.338543 0.512813 0.773448 1.148355 1.662142 2.412000
2025-07-06 0.173673 0.292983 0.472227 0.755284 1.183590 1.798158 2.734491
2025-07-13 0.151721 0.272882 0.464872 0.783033 1.286308 2.037842 3.226016
2025-07-20 0.134201 0.256406 0.459969 0.812730 1.393964 2.294023 3.765418
2025-07-27 0.116391 0.235950 0.445020 0.823283 1.471299 2.509921 4.262136
2025-08-03 0.100273 0.215376 0.426367 0.824246 1.531637 2.702928 4.738255
2025-08-10 0.086425 0.196391 0.407363 0.821325 1.583754 2.885563 5.211334
2025-08-17 0.075459 0.181004 0.392493 0.823355 1.643638 3.084926 5.726964
2025-08-24 0.066415 0.168147 0.380967 0.830855 1.715496 3.313622 6.316710
2025-08-31 0.057255 0.153191 0.362873 0.822953 1.757393 3.492756 6.834741
2025-09-07 0.051629 0.145297 0.358327 0.841714 1.852336 3.775855 7.561522
2025-09-14 0.044633 0.132571 0.341191 0.831606 1.888452 3.951989 8.105543
2025-09-21 0.039956 0.124763 0.333919 0.841730 1.966554 4.214024 8.830052
2025-09-28 0.034187 0.112708 0.314656 0.822241 1.979959 4.350315 9.323484
2025-10-05 0.031790 0.109611 0.316754 0.852277 2.102982 4.714528 10.288020
2025-10-12 0.029705 0.106980 0.319608 0.884385 2.233571 5.103853 11.329330
2025-10-19 0.026916 0.101558 0.314311 0.895809 2.318340 5.404370 12.211528
2025-10-26 0.024044 0.095177 0.305383 0.896871 2.379035 5.658315 13.015064
2025-11-02 0.021372 0.088793 0.295371 0.893733 2.429249 5.893120 13.794127